วันศุกร์ที่ 4 มกราคม พ.ศ. 2556

EURUSD Forecast 4/1/2013 Daily


EURUSD 4/1/2013 D1

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Forex Commentary: EURUSD Move Lower From Pin Bars, 3rd January 2013


EURUSD – Euro/dollar weakens significantly after fakey – pin combo setup
The EURUSD also fell significantly lower today from yesterday’s fakey pin bar combo setup. We can see that near-term momentum has clearly shifted from bullish to bearish after breaking down from the consolidation that we saw recently just above 1.3155. Traders can look for price action sell signals if this market retraces back to resistance in the near-term.

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EUR/USD Analysis – January 3, 2013


Following the partial resolution of the issues surrounding the so called “fiscal cliff”, markets have finally move out of their extended consolidation phases which saw many of them trade in a sideways pattern in the run up to Christmas, and the euro dollar was no
exception. The technical picture for the eurodollar on the daily chart is now dominated by one level, namely the 1.3300 price point and since early December we have seen 3 consecutive failures at this level. The first two were clearly signaled by isolated pivot highs
and a subsequent pullback as a result, and the most recent was in yesterday’s price action which saw the pair touch this level once again before closing below the 1.32 price point.
EUR/USD Analysis - January 3, 2013
EUR/USD Analysis – January 3, 2013
This negative sentiment towards the eurodollar has continued in today’s early trading with the pair now testing the 1.3111 area at time of writing where a possible interim platform of support awaits.
The daily trend for the euro dollar remains bullish although the trend dots on the chart have flattened significantly and yesterday’s price action was accompanied by moderate selling volume, but not sufficiently high enough to suggest that this is a major reversal, but more likely a temporary pullback. Indeed, volumes today appear to be light, once again, adding further weight to this analysis.
For a medium term picture of the euro dollar the weekly chart provides some interesting clues. First the trend here remains firmly bullish and is still rising, having gained momentum from the isolated pivot low of late October and, in addition, the trend is also gaining traction from the breakout above the isolated pivot highs of August and September 2012.
Recent volumes have remained above average and bullish with only a slowdown due to the Christmas holiday period. The heatmap also remains firmly bullish and provided we see a break beyond the 1.33 level there is no reason to suppose that the eurodollar will not continue to remain strong in the short term with the next target a test of the 1.35 area in due course.
Credit :  By Anna Coulling

Euro (€) / US Dollar ($) (EUR/USD) Mid-Session Update for January 3, 2013


The EUR/USD is under pressure at the mid-session. Early in the trading session the Forex pair affirmed yesterday’s change in trend on the daily chart when the market traded through the December 21 swing bottom at 1.3158 with conviction. This old support is now new resistance. 
Based on the main range of 1.2876 to 1.3308, a retracement zone was created at 1.3092 to 1.3041. Although there was a slight technical bounce following the first test of the 50% price at 1.3092, downside momentum is continuing to drive the market lower, fueling expectations of a test of the Fibonacci price level over the near-term.
Daily EUR/USD Chart
Daily EUR/USD Chart
 Before the Euro reaches the Fib price at 1.3041, the Forex pair must break through an uptrending Gann angle at 1.3046. The combination of these two technical factors actually forms a target zone today or a possible support cluster at 1.3046 to 1.3041.
 Besides the sustained drives through the support points, the market is also trading on the weak side of a downtrending Gann angle from the December 19 top at 1.3308. This angle is at 1.3128 today, making it a resistance price.
 The EUR/USD is in a position to test its first swing chart target at 1.3149, making it ripe for a rebound rally. If this price fails to attract buyers then look for the break to continue with 1.2999 and 1.2823 potential downside targets.

วันพฤหัสบดีที่ 3 มกราคม พ.ศ. 2556

EUR/USD Forecast January 3, 2012, Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair shot straight up during the session on Wednesday as word got out that the U.S. Congress had  come to an agreement involving the so-called “fiscal cliff” during New Year’s Day. Because of this, we think that this market should have gone much higher, but the fact that 1.33 has offered so much resistance does make is very curious. It is obvious that the 1.3150 level is massive support, and if we can get below the 1.31 handle we will have certainly broken below that significantly. A move to 1.29 would in fact be expected at that point time, and because of the candle shape, this pair looks very vulnerable all of the sudden.


EUR/USD Forecast January 3, 2012, Technical Analysis
EUR/USD Forecast January 3, 2012, Technical Analysis

EURUSD Forecast 3/1/2013 Daily


EURUSD 3/1/2013  D1

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Euro (€) / US Dollar ($) (EUR/USD) Mid-Session Update for January 02, 2013


The EUR/USD surged after U.S. legislators agreed to pass a bill that helps the country avoid a so-called “fiscal cliff” fueled by tax hikes and spending cuts. 
After finding early session support on an uptrending Gann angle at 1.3216, the market proceeded to cross over to the bullish side of downtrending Gann angles at 1.3228, 1.3268 and 1.3288. Additionally, the Euro also crossed to the bullish side of a short-term 50% price level at 1.3233. 
Daily EUR/USD Chart
Daily EUR/USD Chart
Despite the initial surge, the EUR/USD failed to garner enough upside momentum to take out the swing top at 1.3308. A move through this level would have meant a resumption of the uptrend. The inability to impress bullish traders may have been a sign that the early rally was short-covering rather than new buying. 
The subsequent sell-off into the mid-session put the market on the bearish side of the 50% level at 1.3233. This was the first sign of weakness. The second sign of weakness was breaking back under the downtrending angle at 1.3228. Finally, breaking through the long-term uptrending angle at 1.3216 is a sign that sentiment may be turning. If the market goes through the swing bottom at 1.3158 with conviction, the trend will change to down. 
Today’s dramatic reversal and change in trend to down suggest more downside pressure is likely. Based on the main range of 1.2876 to 1.3308, traders should watch for a break into 1.3092 to 1.3041 over the near-term.