EURUSD 7/1/2013 D1
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วันจันทร์ที่ 7 มกราคม พ.ศ. 2556
EURUSD Forecast 7/1/2013 Daily
EURUSD 7/1/2013 D1
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Weekly Price Action Trading Outlook for January 7th to January 11th 2013
UR/USD – Euro/dollar under pressure below 1.3300
The EURUSD fell significantly lower last Thursday on the back of the fakey with pin bar combo setup that formed last Wednesday. It’s clear by looking at this chart that near-term momentum shifted from bullish to bearish after the consolidation between 1.3155 – 1.3300 broke to the downside last week. However, Friday brought us a bullish pin bar reversal showing rejection of 1.3000 support and indicating the market could pop higher early this week. The market will need to have enough strength to close back above 1.3155 resistance to really make a substantial run higher, and there’s some serious resistance really from 1.3155 up through 1.3300 it would need to clear to extend the uptrend. Overall, there’s some strong “headwinds” facing this market right now and although we see a pin bar formed on Friday and technically the daily chart is showing a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, we could see some stalling and bearish price action emerge around 1.3155 – 1.3300 next week and could even look to sell in that resistance area if an obvious price action sell signal forms.
EUR/USD Forecast January 7, 2012, Technical Analysis
The EUR/USD pair had a slightly positive session for the Friday trading day, bouncing off of the 1.30 level. However, we think that the 1.3150 level above should continue to be resistant, and as a result we think that this market is prone to falling in the near-term. Looking at this candle, it appears we could get a mall rally, and we think this will simply be a chance to sell this pair form higher levels. The area above that should be massive resistance, and because of this we think this pair remains weighted more than anything else. At this point though, we see no real trade set ups.
EUR/USD Forecast January 7, 2012, Technical Analysis
Euro (€) / US Dollar ($) (EUR/USD) Mid-Session Update for January 4, 2013
The EUR/USD is rebounding at the mid-session following an early sell-off. Overnight the market took out an uptrending Gann angle at 1.3056 and a Fibonacci price level at 1.0341. Once this support cluster was broken, sell stops were hit and the market broke sharply toward another uptrending Gann angle at 1.2966.
Daily EUR/USD Chart
A shift in sentiment following the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report led to an intraday reversal which has put the Euro in a position to finish the day higher. If the market can build support over 1.3041 throughout the day, then the odds are strong the EUR/USD will finish higher.
Since the main trend is down on the daily chart, the rally is likely to be short-lived as sellers are probably waiting to re-establish their positions. This selling pressure is likely to re-emerge at 1.3139.
วันศุกร์ที่ 4 มกราคม พ.ศ. 2556
EUR/USD Forecast January 4, 2013, Technical Analysis
The EUR/USD pair collapsed during the session on Thursday as the shooting star from the previous session set up this potential sell signal. We had suggested that the 1.3150 level will offer support during the session, and if it gave way this would open the door to lower prices. As you can see, this is exactly what happened and the fact that we are closing at the very lows of the session suggests that there will be further selling pressure ahead. We suggested that a move down to 1.29 would be very likely, and nothing in this chart says to us that we should change our opinion.
Looking forward, we think this move to 1.29 could be helped along if we get a poor jobs number today, and that is one reason that we may not be in the market. However, we already have some gains from selling this pair and think that going forward that will be the way to go at least in the short-term. Over the longer-term, it’s hard to tell, as it is a risk sensitive pair above the European Union has been an absolute disaster over the last year or two, along with the United States and this is made trading this currency pair very difficult in particular.
The Federal Reserve release the minutes during the session on Thursday and as a result the market got spooked as it appears there were more than previously known members looking to get out of the quantitative easing gain. Once the free money runs out, a lot of the bullishness in the stock market and other risk asset markets will find themselves running for the exits. This may have been a small preview of things to come that we saw in the currency markets during the Thursday session.
We think the rallies that failed to get above the 1.3150 level will offer nice selling opportunities, as would continue deterioration of this pair down to the 1.29 handle. As far as buying is concerned, we would have to break above the 1.33 level in order to do so at this point time, and this is something that we will see happening anytime soon.
EUR/USD Forecast January 4, 2013, Technical Analysis
EURUSD Forecast 4/1/2013 Daily
EURUSD 4/1/2013 D1
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Forex Commentary: EURUSD Move Lower From Pin Bars, 3rd January 2013
EURUSD – Euro/dollar weakens significantly after fakey – pin combo setup
The EURUSD also fell significantly lower today from yesterday’s fakey pin bar combo setup. We can see that near-term momentum has clearly shifted from bullish to bearish after breaking down from the consolidation that we saw recently just above 1.3155. Traders can look for price action sell signals if this market retraces back to resistance in the near-term.
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