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EUR/USD Forecast December 18, 2012, Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair did very little during the session on Monday as it simply went back and forth in a very tight range. However, we remained above the crucial 1.3150 handle, and this does suggest that there is still an upward bias in this market. After all, we broke out on Friday, and the fact that we didn’t fall back into the previous range on Monday does suggest that there is enough interest to keep pushing the currency pair higher.

If we managed to break the highs from the Friday session, we would suggest this market goes higher, but there is a lot of noise above. With that in mind, expect choppy conditions with an upward bias going forward. Also, do not forget that if the end of the year, and liquidity will become a real concern the closer we get to New Year’s Eve.

EUR/USD Forecast December 18, 2012, Technical Analysis

Credit : FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis

Euro (€) / US Dollar ($) (EUR/USD) Mid-Session Update for December 17, 2012

The EUR/USD surged to the upside overnight, taking out the September 17 top at 1.3172 on its way to 1.3187. The rally reaffirmed the uptrend, but the subsequent intraday reversal suggests that the market may be overbought and ripe for a nearby correction. 

Daily EUR/USD Chart

Currently holding up the market is a pair of uptrending Gann angles at 1.3140 and 1.3116. Besides a closing price reversal top, a break through these angles will signal a shift in sentiment. Although the market is expected to show weakness, the move is not expected to be a trend changing event but rather a correction. Based on the short-term move from 1.2876 to 1.3187, a reversal top today is likely to trigger a possible move into 1.3032 to 1.2995 over the near-term. 

Weekly EUR/USD Chart

If traders can regroup later today then they may mount a challenge of the weekly chart resistance at 1.3240. This downtrending Gann angle is slightly below the May 2012 top at 1.3283. 

At the mid-session, the key concern for bullish traders is the possibility of a daily closing price reversal top and the start of a short-term correction.

Credit : By FX Empire Analyst - James Hyerczyk