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EUR/USD Forecast February 19, 2013, Technical Analysis

Posted February 19, 2013 3:35 (GMT) | By FX Empire Analyst - Christopher Lewis 


The EUR/USD pair did very little during the session on Monday, essentially treading water at the 1.3350 level. This level represents a fair amount of noise and support going down to the 1.33 handle, and as a result with the lack of look quiddity as the Americans took their vacation day, market simply did not have the momentum to break either way.
However, one observation that we would make is that the Euro has sold off significantly since a few random words from the ECB. In other words, we feel that the selloff been a little bit extreme, but do not have the buy signal quite yet in order to start going long. Because of this, we are on the sidelines in the Euro at the moment.


EUR/USD Forecast February 19, 2013, Technical Analysis
EUR/USD Forecast February 19, 2013, Technical Analysis

Trade Idea: EUR/USD – Sell at 1.3450 , Feb 19 2013

Candlesticks and Ichimoku Intraday | Written by Action Forex | Feb 19 13 07:29 GMT


EUR/USD – 1.3341
Most recent candlesticks pattern  : Shooting star
Trend                                                 : Near term down
Tenkan-Sen level              :1.3351
Kijun-Sen level                 :1.3350
Ichimoku cloud top              :1.3379
Ichimoku cloud bottom          :1.3347
Original strategy                              :
Sell at 1.3450, Target: 1.3310, Stop: 1.3485
Position: -
Target:  -
Stop:-
New strategy  : 
Sell at 1.3450, Target: 1.3310, Stop: 1.3485
Position: -
Target:  -
Stop:-
Euro’s near term sideways trading after last week’s anticipated resumption of recent decline is likely to continue, as long as Friday’s low of 1.3307 holds, risk of another corrective bounce to Friday’s high of 1.3394 remains, however, the upper Kumo (now at 1.3413) should limit upside and renewed selling interests should emerge around 1.3440-45 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3577-1.3309), bring another decline later. A break of said support would extend recent decline from 1.3711 top for weakness to 1.3285-90 but loss of downward momentum should prevent sharp fall below 1.3250, risk from there is seen a strong recovery later.
In view of this, we are looking to sell euro on recovery. Only above 1.3455-60 would defer and risk a stronger rebound to 1.3485-90 but still reckon resistance at 1.3520 (with a shooting star) should continue to cap euro’s upside, bring another decline later this week.

Technical Analysis for Major Currencies , Feb 19 2013

Daily Forex Technicals | Written by ICN.com | Feb 19 13 07:38 GMT


Technical Analysis for Major Currencies

EURO

The pair tried to move to the upside yesterday but remained limited below 1.3355 levels, as stability below it keeps the affect of the AB=CD bearish harmonic Pattern valid. The previously mentioned might push the pair to extend bearishness reaching 1.3270 levels as we might see more of the downside move if the mentioned level was broken. The possible negativity remains valid by stabilizing below 1.3440 levels; stability below 1.3380 levels keeps the bearish possibility valid for today.
The trading range for today is among the key support at 1.3235 and key resistance at 1.3440.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside targeting 1.4375 as far as areas of 1.2990 remains intact.
Support: 1.3310, 1.3270, 1.3235, 1.3200, 1.3235
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3405, 1.3440, 1.3485, 1.3500
Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is selling the pair around 1.3355 targeting 1.3305, 1.3270 then 1.3235 and stop-loss with four-hour closing above 1.3405 might be appropriate

GBP

The pair’s trading stabilized below 1.5525 levels as Linear Regression Indicators tends to be negative now and might extend the bearish move. Stochastic is showing oversold signals which might cause great volatility. Meanwhile trading below 1.5580 levels today might extend the downside move, while stability below 1.5525 levels strengthens this possibility.
The trading range for today is among key support at 1.5340 and key resistance at 1.5610.
The general trend over short term basis is to the downside targeting 1.6875 as far as areas of 1.4225 remains intact.
Support: 1.5455, 1.5415, 1.5380, 1.5365, 1.5340
Resistance: 1.5500, 1.5525, 1.5580, 1.5610, 1.5630
Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is selling the pair below 1.5525 targeting 1.5455, 1.5415 then 1.5340 and stop-loss with four-hour closing above 1.5610 might be appropriate

JPY

Stochastic is showing the extension of the negative bias after the pair touched the upside key support that was broken earlier and turned to resistance. The pair should stabilize below Linear Regression Indicators around 93.35 levels. Trading below 94.50 levels keeps the possibility of the negative bias valid, but breaking 93.35 levels is important to confirm negativity.
The trading range for today is among key support at 92.05 and key resistance at 94.85.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside targeting 100.00 as far as areas of 84.00 remain intact.
Support: 93.35, 93.10, 92.70, 92.50, 92.05
Resistance: 93.80, 94.05, 94.25, 94.85, 95.00
Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is selling the pair with four-hour closing below 93.35 targeting 92.70, 92.50 then 92.05 and stop-loss with four-hour closing above 94.50 might be appropriate

CHF

The pair stabilized above Linear Regression Indicators yesterday despite moving to the downside, proving that the bullish move is still valid. Stochastic offers some negativity as RSI shows weakness of the upside move; yet since the pair is stable above 0.9130 levels, the possibility of an upside move remains. Stability above 0.9200 levels strengthens the positive outlook, especially that MACD is trending higher eying a breakout above zero line to the upside.
The trading range for today is among key support at 0.9080 and key resistance at 0.9370.
The general trend over short term basis is to the downside stable at levels 0.9775 targeting 0.8860.
Support: 0.9200, 0.9180, 0.9165, 0.9130, 0.9100
Resistance: 0.9235, 0.9270, 0.9305, 0.9320, 0.9350
Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is buying the pair above 0.9200 targeting 0.9270, 0.9305 then 0.9370 and stop-loss with four-hour closing below 0.9130 might be appropriate

CAD

The pair stabilized above 1.0085 levels indicating that the upside move might extend. Despite the importance of 1.0120 resistance, stability above 1.0085 levels might extend the bullish move toward 1.0205 levels. Linear Regression Indicators are very positive forcing us to turn bullish after the extension of the bearish correction failed due to stability above 1.0085.
The trading range for today is between the key support at 1.0005 and the key resistance at 1.0205.
The general trend over short term basis is to the downside with daily closing below levels 1.0125 targeting 0.9400.
Support: 1.0085, 1.0055, 1.0030, 1.0005, 0.9980
Resistance: 1.0120, 1.0160, 1.0180, 1.0205, 1.0240
Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is buying the pair above 1.0085 targeting 1.0120, 1.0160 then 1.0205 and stop-loss with four-hour closing below 1.0025 might be appropriate

AUD

Areas of 1.0275 remained stable against the downside move, confirming the attempts to the upside to retest the ascending channel's broken support -turned to resistance-. Positivity is valid now unless the bearish move extends below the mentioned 1.0275 levels, while breaching 1.0375 levels will extend the upside move.
The trading range for today is among key support at 1.0200 and key resistance at 1.0475.
The general trend over short term basis is to the downside with daily closing below levels 1.0710 targeting 0.9400.
Support: 1.0310, 1.0275, 1.0220, 1.0200, 1.0185
Resistance: 1.0345, 1.0385, 1.0400, 1.0430, 1.0475
Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is buying the pair above 1.0310 targeting 1.0385, 1.0400 then 1.0475 and stop-loss with four-hour closing below 1.0275 might be appropriate

NZD

The pair proved stability above 0.8400 levels supporting that possibility of positivity again. Stochastic is still moving negatively but we will ignore that unless the pair holds below 0.8355. We suggest an upside move today depending on the ascending channel and stability above the mentioned support, but we prefer stability above 0.8480 levels to further confirm positivity.
The trading range for today might be among key support at 0.8355 and key resistance at 0.8565.
The general trend over short term basis is to the upside with steady daily closing above 0.8130 targeting 0.8845.
Support: 0.8415, 0.8400, 0.8385, 0.8355, 0.8310
Resistance: 0.8450, 0.8480, 0.8500, 0.8535, 0.8565
Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above, our opinion is buying the pair above 0.8415 targeting 0.8480, 0.8535 then 0.8565 and stop-loss with four-hour closing below 0.8355 might be appropriate

EUR/USD In Narrow Range, Where To Next? , Feb 19 2013

Daily Forex Technicals | Written by ZIFX.com | Feb 19 13 05:38 GMT


EUR/USD In Narrow Range, Where To Next?

EUR/USD Open 1.3345 High 1.3380 Low 1.3320 Close 1.3349
On Monday Euro/Dollar traded within narrow 60 pip range. The European currency appreciated from 1.3394 to 1.3305 yesterday, matching the neutral money flow sentiment at nearly -9%, closing the day at 1.3349. This morning the Euro is trading quietly, with movements within yesterday's range for now.
On the 1 hour chart the upward channel has turned into range trading, while on the 3 hour chart the upward channel is on hold. Break above the nearest resistance and yesterday's top at 1.3380 may trigger further strengthening of the Euro. Going bellow yesterday's bottom and first support at 1.3320, however, would confirm continuation of the bearish trend, towards next objective downwards 1.3205.
Today's focus is on Germany ZEW economic expectations index, and US Housing Market Index, at 10 and 23:50 GMT respectively.
Quotes are moving just bellow the 20 and 50 EMA on the 1 hour chart, indicating slim bearish pressure. The value of the RSI indicator is negative and calm, MACD is negative and quiet too, while CCI is in line with the 100 line on the 1 hour chart, giving over all neutral to light short signals.
Technical resistance levels: 1.3380 1.3493 1.3620
Technical support levels: 1.3320 1.3205 1.3080

EUR/USD - Triangle Within The 1.33-1.34 Range, Breakout Scenarios, Feb 19 2013

Daily Forex Technicals | Written by FXTimes | Feb 19 13 02:41 GMT


EUR/USD - Triangle Within The 1.33-1.34 Range, Breakout Scenarios

Range: Since late Thursday session (2/14), EUR/USD has been settling within a range roughly between 1.33 and 1.34. This comes after a recent bearish trend that started from a high around 1.37. As we begin the week, President’s Day trading has been quiet, and the volatility in EUR/USD dried up as can be seen in the 1H chart, as it goes into triangle mode. A break from this triangle is not significant, but a break out of the 1.33-1.34 range can give new directional clues.

Breakout scenarios: Without considering prevailing trend and momentum, a break of a range 100-pip wide, could project 100 pips away from the breakout point, making the targets 1.35 to the upside and 1.32 to the downside. However, there are some challenges on both sides. To the upside, a falling trendline connecting the 1.3710 and 1.3520 highs might meet a rally around 1.3450. To the downside, the 1.3255 area is a previous consolidation support. Below that is a key rising trendline support going back to July, when the current bullish trend in the daily chart started.

The Daily Wave Analysis , Feb 19 2013

Daily Forex Technicals | Written by Admiral Markets | Feb 19 13 02:10 GMT


The Daily Wave Analysis

Currency pair USD/CHF
Presumably, the Impulse (v) of [a] is close to completion . If this assumption is correct, after its completion we can expect a downward price movement in line with wave formation correctional [b] of 2.
Currency pair EUR/USD
Presumably, the Impulse [v] of A is close to completion . If this assumption is correct, after its completion we can expect an upward price movement in line with wave formation correctional B of (2).
Currency pair GBP/USD
Presumably, the Impulse (5) of [5] is forming . If this assumption is correct, in the course of the formation development we can expect a downward price movement.
Currency pair USD/JPY
Presumably, the Impulse v of (v) of [iii] is forming . If this assumption is correct, in the course of the formation development we can expect further upward price movement.